Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1080.653300 1231.007681 1399.996896 1605.018160 1848.379195 2129.694527 2481.912841
2025-06-08 844.573118 1036.164298 1272.534425 1589.637659 2010.146596 2557.667213 3339.720319
2025-06-15 737.985588 949.052759 1225.578061 1622.227164 2189.898649 2994.569382 4262.509936
2025-06-22 636.114492 846.830442 1135.491476 1571.123956 2232.666771 3236.256687 4951.229669
2025-06-29 561.712101 769.375392 1064.592280 1529.659072 2272.913484 3469.969112 5671.625671
2025-07-06 500.537347 702.095260 997.714270 1480.817107 2287.945923 3658.673685 6354.137470
2025-07-13 474.326694 682.256438 997.507464 1533.481596 2473.590863 4167.655218 7764.629322
2025-07-20 443.869898 652.167878 977.032048 1548.548412 2594.734412 4582.667152 9112.080916
2025-07-27 423.189579 634.827980 974.200436 1591.890837 2772.441281 5141.590072 10957.215053
2025-08-03 403.294524 616.521054 967.246932 1626.030753 2937.221764 5709.799270 13033.216911
2025-08-10 389.121771 606.055793 972.007527 1681.494678 3153.174634 6438.713763 15822.629185
2025-08-17 368.598845 582.931609 952.095221 1686.914029 3265.194259 6956.760801 18252.076524
2025-08-24 344.771648 553.362749 919.969358 1668.791995 3333.744136 7415.376654 20825.993472
2025-08-31 323.262896 526.301198 890.218737 1652.607001 3406.875543 7916.087709 23864.194209
2025-09-07 310.403017 513.407474 885.286127 1686.806555 3604.449746 8811.268969 28914.617466
2025-09-14 288.429711 482.116803 842.150739 1633.190888 3576.889518 9059.258052 31593.260109
2025-09-21 269.723702 455.468876 805.673919 1589.702490 3567.507000 9362.454710 34754.342426
2025-09-28 251.906931 429.227267 767.774832 1538.493762 3529.228898 9567.631422 37648.111942
2025-10-05 246.439168 425.976990 775.720491 1593.711008 3789.569595 10843.489754 47146.190197
2025-10-12 237.497142 415.324321 767.457087 1609.512061 3943.634751 11815.242686 56088.700473
2025-10-19 231.836881 410.649633 771.202509 1654.976195 4194.946978 13252.426152 69863.177313
2025-10-26 225.649056 404.446545 771.077987 1690.797161 4426.225519 14720.860367 86236.566199
2025-11-02 221.560017 402.159122 779.208726 1749.010214 4743.530689 16711.336478 110696.078031